CPA RANKINGS - NFL - TM
CPA RETRODICTION RANKINGS - NFL - TM
(c) 2016, Steven Wrathell, CPA, PC
 
NFL Page
 
CPA Rankings is on the college football rating SuperList!
http://wilson.engr.wisc.edu/superlist/
All London games will be (or were) neutral:
Week 4, 10-02-2016, Jax v Indy
Week 7, 10-23-2016, LA Rams v NY Giants (the chosen NFL East team)
Week 8, 10-30-2016, Cin v Wash
The Super Bowl, on 2-05-2017, will be played at the home of the Houston
Texans and will be considered to be at a neutral site.
The Patriots have played better with Brady back.
Roger "Hitler" Goodell was WRONG to suspend Tom Brady. A private
organization does not have the right to search employee's telephones
when there is no evidence of a crime. 
Roger "Hitler" Goodell is WRONG to NOT suspend players (who are paid to
participate in the national anthem by standing at attention) who
refuse to do their job while they're on the clock. Those players dis-
respect ALL Americans -- especially those who serve, or served, in the
military. If you despise America, move to North Korea.
Does YOUR life matter?
In the first Democratic Party presidential debate for the 2016 election,
the candidates were asked to choose one of the following: Black lives
matter or ALL lives matter. FOUR of the FIVE chose "Black lives matter."
Dem nominee Hillary Clinton, who is guilty of gross negligence with top
secret data & obstruction of justice, supports Iran having nukes.
   
 
   
 
   
 
   
 
 
 
Judicial tyranny is evil. Support
our WRITTEN Constitution!
Go to my home/description page for links to my other pages.
 
Note: the HFA's below are half-HFA's. Add the HFA's for each team
together to determine the Home Field Advantage for each game.
Example:
---------Rating----HFA
Team A ** 50.00 ** 1.40
Team B ** 48.00 ** 0.80
Neutral: A > B by 2.00. Total HFA = 2.20
B at A: A by 4.20. A at B: B by 0.20.
If a game pick adds to a tie, add 0.01 to the home team,
whether for straight up or for ATS.
Note that HFA's are not used (i.e., they are zero) in neutral games. The
Super Bowl is always neutral. There usually aren't many other neutral NFL games.
But there are games in London & Toronto. Any game played outside the U.S. would
be neutral.
CPA RANKINGS - NFL (TM)
NFL victory margins are no longer capped at 30 points since I had to switch to
using spreadsheets that were designed for college football. NFL teams are not 
generally expected to be favored by more than 30 points for a game, but some
teams can be that bad. Note that rating changes also occur due to prior 
opponents' performances, etc.
CPA RETRODICTION RANKINGS - NFL (TM)
See my description page regarding the CPA Retrodiction Rankings.
Note that some differences in methodology exist between the
NCAA and NFL systems. HFA's differ from CPA Rankings, are not
used in calculating these rankings, but are to be used in
calculating predictions from this system. Note that this is
primarily a retrodictive system, not a predictive one. CPA
Retrodiction minimizes ranking violations.
Rankings and W-L records, then (below) ratings & 1/2 HFA's thru Mon 10-31-2016
"CPA" = CPA Rankings / "cpa R" = CPA Retrodiction Rankings
In CPA order
---- ---------------------- -CPA- cpa R Plyf Plyf
Dvsn -------- Team -------- Rank- Rank- W L T W L
A E New England Patriots.. 1 1 7 1 0
N E Dallas Cowboys ....... 2 6 6 1 0
A W Kansas City Chiefs ... 3 7 5 2 0
A E Buffalo Bills ........ 4 23 4 4 0
N E Philadelphia Eagles .. 5 13 4 3 0
A W Denver Broncos ....... 6 9 6 2 0
A W San Diego Chargers ... 7 20 3 5 0
N S Atlanta Falcons ...... 8 3 5 3 0
N W Arizona Cardinals .... 9 26 3 4 1
A N Pittsburgh Steelers .. 10 10 4 3 0
N N Minnesota Vikings .... 11 2 5 2 0
N E Washington Redskins .. 12 16 4 3 1
A W Oakland Raiders ...... 13 8 6 2 0
N N Green Bay Packers .... 14 4 4 3 0
A E Miami Dolphins ....... 15 17 3 4 0
N W Seattle Seahawks ..... 16 21 4 2 1
A N Cincinnati Bengals ... 17 15 3 4 1
N E N Y Giants ........... 18 5 4 3 0
N S Carolina Panthers .... 19 28 2 5 0
N S New Orleans Saints ... 20 14 3 4 0
N S Tampa Bay Bucs ....... 21 24 3 4 0
A S Tennessee Titans ..... 22 18 4 4 0
N N Detroit Lions ........ 23 11 4 4 0
A S Indianapolis Colts ... 24 25 3 5 0
A N Baltimore Ravens ..... 25 22 3 4 0
A S Houston Texans ....... 26 12 5 3 0
N W Los Angeles Rams ..... 27 19 3 4 0
A E N Y Jets ............. 28 27 3 5 0
N N Chicago Bears ........ 29 31 2 6 0
A N Cleveland Browns ..... 30 32 0 8 0
A S Jacksonville Jags .... 31 29 2 5 0
N W San Francisco 49ers .. 32 30 1 6 0
Ratings & 1/2 HFA factors in alphabetical order
---- ---------------------- -CPA- cpa R -CPA- cpa R
Dvsn -------- Team -------- Rat'g Rat'g *HFA* *HFA*
N W Arizona Cardinals .... 85.83 80.50 5.10 3.35
N S Atlanta Falcons ...... 86.97 88.32 -0.06 -0.10
A N Baltimore Ravens ..... 79.46 83.29 2.54 1.28
A E Buffalo Bills ........ 89.73 83.15 0.59 0.10
N S Carolina Panthers .... 82.19 79.74 1.42 2.05
N N Chicago Bears ........ 77.57 78.01 2.27 2.82
A N Cincinnati Bengals ... 83.00 85.33 2.38 2.62
A N Cleveland Browns ..... 75.29 77.17 0.58 0.99
N E Dallas Cowboys ....... 92.79 87.29 0.51 0.40
A W Denver Broncos ....... 88.42 86.26 -0.06 0.25
N N Detroit Lions ........ 81.12 85.91 2.08 1.61
N N Green Bay Packers .... 84.72 87.85 1.51 0.40
A S Houston Texans ....... 79.30 85.73 4.81 3.35
A S Indianapolis Colts ... 79.58 80.64 0.68 -0.10
A S Jacksonville Jags .... 73.28 79.47 1.44 2.15
A W Kansas City Chiefs ... 91.03 87.10 3.97 2.85
N W Los Angeles Rams ..... 78.13 83.89 1.99 1.70
A E Miami Dolphins ....... 84.48 84.47 1.26 0.95
N N Minnesota Vikings .... 85.29 93.66 2.70 3.35
N E N Y Giants ........... 82.57 87.67 0.82 0.84
A E N Y Jets ............. 77.77 80.07 1.77 3.14
A E New England Patriots.. 99.00 99.00 -0.06 -0.08
N S New Orleans Saints ... 82.07 85.49 -0.06 -0.10
A W Oakland Raiders ...... 84.86 86.68 -0.06 -0.10
N E Philadelphia Eagles .. 89.42 85.62 4.33 3.35
A N Pittsburgh Steelers .. 85.72 86.13 5.40 3.35
A W San Diego Chargers ... 88.07 83.77 2.48 2.42
N W San Francisco 49ers .. 72.35 78.70 5.01 3.35
N W Seattle Seahawks ..... 84.35 83.55 2.13 2.08
N S Tampa Bay Bucs ....... 81.62 82.60 -0.06 -0.10
A S Tennessee Titans ..... 81.32 84.26 -0.06 -0.10
N E Washington Redskins .. 84.97 85.14 0.25 -0.10
LAST SEASON'S FINAL DATA
CPA RANKINGS - NFL (TM)
CPA RETRODICTION RANKINGS - NFL (TM)
Rankings and W-L records, then (below) ratings & 1/2 HFA's thru 2-07-2016 FINAL
FINAL, Post-SUPER BOWL Edition!
"CPA" = CPA Rankings / "cpa R" = CPA Retrodiction Rankings
In CPR order
---- ---------------------- -CPA- cpa R Plyf Plyf
Dvsn -------- Team -------- Rank- Rank- W L T W L
A W Denver Broncos ....... 7 1 15 4 0 3 0
A E New England Patriots.. 8 2 13 5 0 1 1
N S Carolina Panthers .... 5 3 17 2 0 2 1
A N Pittsburgh Steelers .. 6 4 11 7 0 1 1
N W Arizona Cardinals .... 1 5 14 4 0 1 1
A N Cincinnati Bengals ... 2 6 12 5 0 0 1
N N Green Bay Packers .... 10 7 11 7 0 1 1
A W Kansas City Chiefs ... 4 8 12 6 0 1 1
N W Seattle Seahawks ..... 3 9 11 7 0 1 1
N N Minnesota Vikings .... 9 10 11 6 0 0 1
N N Detroit Lions ........ 13 11 7 9 0
N E Washington Redskins .. 20 12 9 8 0 0 1
N N Chicago Bears ........ 16 13 6 10 0
A W Oakland Raiders ...... 12 14 7 9 0
N E Philadelphia Eagles .. 23 15 7 9 0
A E Buffalo Bills ........ 14 16 8 8 0
A S Houston Texans ....... 17 17 9 8 0 0 1
A E N Y Jets ............. 11 18 10 6 0
A S Indianapolis Colts ... 26 19 8 8 0
N W St Louis Rams ........ 15 20 7 9 0
A W San Diego Chargers ... 19 21 4 12 0
A N Cleveland Browns ..... 25 22 3 13 0
A S Tennessee Titans ..... 32 23 3 13 0
N S New Orleans Saints ... 29 24 7 9 0
N E N Y Giants ........... 21 25 6 10 0
N W San Francisco 49ers .. 24 26 5 11 0
N S Tampa Bay Bucs ....... 31 27 6 10 0
N S Atlanta Falcons ...... 22 28 8 8 0
A S Jacksonville Jags .... 30 29 5 11 0
N E Dallas Cowboys ....... 28 30 4 12 0
A E Miami Dolphins ....... 27 31 6 10 0
A N Baltimore Ravens ..... 18 32 5 11 0
Ratings & 1/2 HFA factors in alphabetical order
---- ---------------------- -CPA- cpa R -CPA- cpa R
Dvsn -------- Team -------- Rat'g Rat'g *HFA* *HFA*
N W Arizona Cardinals .... 99.00 97.17 -1.25 -0.15
N S Atlanta Falcons ...... 84.73 87.29 2.90 0.20
A N Baltimore Ravens ..... 86.48 86.66 -1.15 -0.15
A E Buffalo Bills ........ 88.33 91.31 1.80 0.20
N S Carolina Panthers .... 98.26 97.34 3.82 0.20
N N Chicago Bears ........ 87.36 92.83 -2.05 -0.15
A N Cincinnati Bengals ... 98.81 97.10 -1.13 -0.15
A N Cleveland Browns ..... 82.28 88.90 1.04 0.20
N E Dallas Cowboys ....... 81.79 86.77 0.35 -0.15
A W Denver Broncos ....... 95.98 99.00 1.23 0.20
N N Detroit Lions ........ 88.57 93.28 1.04 0.20
N N Green Bay Packers .... 94.76 97.03 0.12 0.20
A S Houston Texans ....... 86.67 91.17 0.42 0.20
A S Indianapolis Colts ... 82.12 90.66 1.47 0.20
A S Jacksonville Jags .... 81.10 87.26 1.91 0.20
A W Kansas City Chiefs ... 98.65 96.90 -2.14 -0.15
A E Miami Dolphins ....... 82.03 86.71 1.91 0.20
N N Minnesota Vikings .... 94.84 96.54 0.35 -0.05
N E N Y Giants ........... 85.23 87.81 1.13 0.20
A E N Y Jets ............. 90.35 91.03 2.78 0.20
A E New England Patriots.. 95.55 97.71 1.10 0.20
N S New Orleans Saints ... 81.71 87.95 2.77 0.20
A W Oakland Raiders ...... 88.62 92.80 -0.52 -0.15
N E Philadelphia Eagles .. 83.81 92.28 -0.37 -0.15
A N Pittsburgh Steelers .. 96.86 97.23 1.76 0.20
A W San Diego Chargers ... 86.18 89.01 -0.85 -0.15
N W San Francisco 49ers .. 82.47 87.51 2.48 0.20
N W Seattle Seahawks ..... 98.76 96.66 -1.67 -0.15
N W St Louis Rams ........ 88.05 90.37 0.80 0.20
N S Tampa Bay Bucs ....... 80.80 87.37 -1.64 -0.15
A S Tennessee Titans ..... 78.29 88.84 -0.70 -0.15
N E Washington Redskins .. 86.10 93.08 0.98 0.20