The Superlist
The Superlist
Monday, January 10, 2022 (6 systems)
You can link to the Superlist or get permission to post it on your
site as soon as it is completed. A link to the Superlist page is
required.
The Superlist rankings are computed by David Wilson using the rankings
for the selected systems on Kenneth Massey's Ratings Comparison Page.
In the following list you will see all the 1-A teams as calculated by
the Superlist formula from this year's members. Each team's rating is
shown, followed by the average rank, followed by the median rank,
followed by the number of systems that put the team in the top thirty,
top ten, top five and top position.
If you wish to use the Superlist to guess the margin of victory of a
given game, subtract the lower team rating from the greater team
rating, then divide by two and add three points to the home team, if
any. That will give you an idea of the expected outcome based on past
performance. If you are a serious gambler, I would suggest you don't
confuse this system with a truly predictive one.
rank team rating average median top30 top10 top5 top1
1 Georgia 100.000 1.000 1.0 6 6 6 6
2 Alabama 99.000 2.000 2.0 6 6 6 0
3 Michigan 96.917 4.167 4.0 6 6 5 0
4 Ohio St 96.667 4.667 4.0 6 6 5 0
5 Oklahoma St 95.333 5.833 5.5 6 6 3 0
6 Cincinnati 94.833 6.833 5.5 6 5 3 0
7 Baylor 93.750 7.500 7.0 6 5 2 0
8 Oklahoma 92.917 8.167 8.0 6 6 0 0
9 Notre Dame 91.833 8.833 9.5 6 6 0 0
10 Michigan St 91.333 10.333 9.0 6 5 0 0
11 Clemson 88.417 12.167 13.0 6 1 0 0
12 Mississippi 87.250 13.500 14.0 6 0 0 0
13 Wisconsin 86.667 15.167 13.5 6 0 0 0
14 Arkansas 85.083 14.833 17.0 6 1 0 0
15 Pittsburgh 84.333 16.833 16.5 6 0 0 0
16 Utah 82.167 19.167 18.5 6 0 0 0
17 Purdue 81.500 20.000 19.0 6 0 0 0
18 Kentucky 80.500 21.000 20.0 6 0 0 0
19 Texas A&M 79.167 22.667 21.0 5 0 0 0
20 Wake Forest 79.167 21.167 22.5 6 0 0 0
21 Houston 78.083 23.333 22.5 5 0 0 0
22 Penn St 77.583 24.833 22.0 4 0 0 0
23 Iowa 76.667 24.167 24.5 5 0 0 0
24 Iowa St 76.583 24.333 24.5 4 1 0 0
25 Louisiana 76.000 24.500 25.5 3 0 0 0
26 Minnesota 75.250 25.000 26.5 6 0 0 0
27 NC State 74.500 25.500 27.5 5 0 0 0
28 Kansas St 72.500 28.500 28.5 3 0 0 0
29 Auburn 68.917 33.167 31.0 3 0 0 0
30 Tennessee 67.750 35.000 31.5 3 0 0 0
31 San Diego St 67.583 33.833 33.0 3 0 0 0
32 BYU 67.000 36.000 32.0 2 0 0 0
33 Oregon 66.833 34.833 33.5 1 0 0 0
34 Texas Tech 66.500 37.000 32.0 1 0 0 0
35 Air Force 65.417 35.167 36.0 2 0 0 0
36 Boise St 63.167 38.667 37.0 0 0 0 0
37 Utah St 62.500 40.000 37.0 2 0 0 0
38 Texas 61.750 38.500 40.0 2 0 0 0
39 Mississippi St 58.833 41.833 42.5 0 0 0 0
40 WKU 58.333 42.833 42.5 1 0 0 0
41 UCLA 58.250 43.000 42.5 1 0 0 0
42 Appalachian St 57.667 43.667 43.0 0 0 0 0
43 UT San Antonio 57.333 41.333 46.0 2 0 0 0
44 Miami FL 56.417 44.667 44.5 0 0 0 0
45 LSU 54.667 47.167 45.5 0 0 0 0
46 Fresno St 54.333 44.833 48.5 2 0 0 0
47 SMU 52.083 48.833 49.0 0 0 0 0
48 Army 51.333 51.333 48.0 0 0 0 0
49 UCF 51.333 49.333 50.0 0 0 0 0
50 Maryland 51.333 50.333 49.0 0 0 0 0
51 Louisville 50.333 52.333 49.0 0 0 0 0
52 Coastal Car 50.000 50.500 51.5 0 0 0 0
53 South Carolina 49.917 51.667 50.5 0 0 0 0
54 Nebraska 49.500 54.500 48.5 0 0 0 0
55 Arizona St 49.167 51.667 52.0 0 0 0 0
56 West Virginia 47.833 51.333 55.0 0 0 0 0
57 Liberty 46.667 55.667 53.0 0 0 0 0
58 UAB 46.000 54.500 55.5 0 0 0 0
59 Nevada 44.583 56.333 56.5 0 0 0 0
60 Florida 42.333 55.833 61.5 1 0 0 0
61 W Michigan 40.917 61.167 59.0 0 0 0 0
62 Virginia 39.500 61.500 61.5 0 0 0 0
63 Oregon St 39.500 61.000 62.0 0 0 0 0
64 North Carolina 36.750 63.000 65.5 0 0 0 0
65 Washington St 36.000 65.500 64.5 0 0 0 0
66 C Michigan 35.917 65.167 65.0 0 0 0 0
67 TCU 34.667 67.167 65.5 0 0 0 0
68 Tulsa 34.583 67.333 65.5 0 0 0 0
69 Florida St 33.083 68.833 67.0 0 0 0 0
70 Georgia St 32.500 69.000 68.0 0 0 0 0
71 East Carolina 31.833 68.333 70.0 0 0 0 0
72 Illinois 31.417 68.667 70.5 0 0 0 0
73 Missouri 30.500 71.000 70.0 0 0 0 0
74 Marshall 28.583 73.333 71.5 0 0 0 0
75 Virginia Tech 26.417 74.667 74.5 0 0 0 0
76 Wyoming 23.250 77.000 78.5 0 0 0 0
77 Syracuse 22.500 79.000 78.0 0 0 0 0
78 Memphis 22.333 78.333 79.0 0 0 0 0
79 Miami OH 22.333 79.333 78.0 0 0 0 0
80 Boston College 21.000 80.500 79.5 0 0 0 0
81 Rutgers 20.750 80.000 80.5 0 0 0 0
82 California 20.083 81.333 80.5 0 0 0 0
83 N Illinois 19.667 78.167 84.5 0 0 0 0
84 Toledo 18.417 82.667 82.5 0 0 0 0
85 Navy 16.667 83.667 85.0 0 0 0 0
86 USC 15.417 84.167 87.0 0 0 0 0
87 MTSU 14.750 85.500 87.0 0 0 0 0
88 Washington 12.583 88.833 88.0 0 0 0 0
89 Indiana 10.583 91.333 89.5 0 0 0 0
90 Hawaii 9.000 93.000 91.0 0 0 0 0
91 Georgia Tech 8.917 91.667 92.5 0 0 0 0
92 Kent 6.917 93.167 95.0 0 0 0 0
93 Ball St 6.750 93.500 95.0 0 0 0 0
94 Stanford 5.917 95.667 94.5 0 0 0 0
95 Colorado 5.833 95.833 94.5 0 0 0 0
96 E Michigan 5.750 94.000 96.5 0 0 0 0
97 Tulane 4.083 96.833 97.0 0 0 0 0
98 FL Atlantic 3.833 97.333 97.0 0 0 0 0
99 North Texas 3.417 98.167 97.0 0 0 0 0
100 UTEP 2.583 97.333 99.5 0 0 0 0
101 San Jose St 2.500 99.000 98.0 0 0 0 0
102 Northwestern 1.833 98.333 100.0 0 0 0 0
103 Old Dominion 1.750 98.500 100.0 0 0 0 0
104 Troy -0.083 100.167 102.0 0 0 0 0
105 Colorado St -1.083 101.167 103.0 0 0 0 0
106 South Alabama -3.417 104.833 104.0 0 0 0 0
107 ULM -6.417 107.833 107.0 0 0 0 0
108 Kansas -6.833 107.667 108.0 0 0 0 0
109 South Florida -8.333 109.167 109.5 0 0 0 0
110 UNLV -9.583 110.667 110.5 0 0 0 0
111 Buffalo -11.000 112.000 112.0 0 0 0 0
112 Louisiana Tech -11.583 112.667 112.5 0 0 0 0
113 Charlotte -12.000 112.500 113.5 0 0 0 0
114 Rice -12.333 112.667 114.0 0 0 0 0
115 Ga Southern -13.250 114.500 114.0 0 0 0 0
116 Arizona -14.333 116.167 114.5 0 0 0 0
117 Duke -14.417 115.833 115.0 0 0 0 0
118 Vanderbilt -15.583 116.667 116.5 0 0 0 0
119 Texas St -16.583 116.667 118.5 0 0 0 0
120 Bowling Green -16.750 118.500 117.0 0 0 0 0
121 Ohio -18.667 119.333 120.0 0 0 0 0
122 New Mexico -19.833 120.667 121.0 0 0 0 0
123 Southern Miss -20.500 121.500 121.5 0 0 0 0
124 Arkansas St -21.083 122.167 122.0 0 0 0 0
125 Temple -22.667 122.833 124.5 0 0 0 0
126 New Mexico St -24.500 125.500 125.5 0 0 0 0
127 Akron -26.167 127.333 127.0 0 0 0 0
128 Connecticut -26.917 127.833 128.0 0 0 0 0
129 Florida Intl -27.833 128.667 129.0 0 0 0 0
130 Massachusetts -29.000 130.000 130.0 0 0 0 0
The Superlist is compiled from excellent computer rating systems.
Retrodictive systems judge all games are treated equally through the
season and margins of victory are not included. Predictive means that
games are weighted toward the end of the season to reflect their
current strength instead of their average strength throughout the
season as retrodictive ones do. Predictive systems do consider margins
of victory. These are only general observations of retrodictive and
predictive systems. Individual systems may not fit this description
exactly.
rating = the fabricated points issued to each team according to the
Superlist formula. If a team wins the number one position in all
rating systems it will score 100. If a team wins all number two
positions it will score 99. With all number thirty positions a team
would score 71.
rating = 101 - 0.5*(average + median)
average = average ranking by the systems.
median = the middle point at which half the systems awarding the team
a position would show a higher position and half would award it a
lower one. For example, if there were three systems and a team had
positions 18, 24, and 25, the median position would be the middle one
- 24. If there are an even number of systems the two middle numbers
are averaged for the median. That moves one system above the median
and one system below the median unless both systems assign the team
the same position. Examples:
4, 5, 8, and 9 would yield a median of 6.5.
4, 6, 6, and 20 would become 6.
The systems included in the Superlist are:
NCAA Division IA Football Power Ratings
http://www.jhowell.net/cf/cfindex.htm
Massey Ratings
http://www.masseyratings.com/rate.php?lg=cf&sub=IA&mid=6
F.A.C.T.
http://prwolfe.bol.ucla.edu/cfootball/rothman.txt
David Wilson's Performance Ratings Data missing
http://wilson.engr.wisc.edu/perform/byrate.html
2017 College Football
http://prwolfe.bol.ucla.edu/cfootball/home.htm
Time Travel Sports
http://www.timetravelsports.com/currat.txt
Atomic Football Data missing
http://www.atomicfootball.com/af-ratings.html
Accuratings Data missing
http://accuratings.webs.com/ncaaf.html
Power Ratings
http://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/col-foot.htm
_________________________________________
The Superlist was conceived and formulated by Ray Waits of Nutshell Sports
Ratings and consultant Stewart Huckaby of ARGH Ratings. It is the
property
of Ray Waits and
David Wilson.
YourLinx Ratings can be found at:
http://www.nutshellsports.com/
Your comments are welcomed:
ray@ebarrelracing.com
_________________________________________
Feel free to distribute this to your friends. Better yet, tell them
where they can subscribe. They will receive sports ratings year round.
Sports pages you just can't miss:
David Wilson's American College Football - Rankings List
http://wilson.engr.wisc.edu/rsfc/oth_sites/rate/
Everything you ever wanted to know about College Football
http://wilson.engr.wisc.edu/rsfc/
Kenneth Massey's College Football Ranking Comparison
http://masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm
Kenneth Massey's College Basketball Ranking Comparison
http://masseyratings.com/cb/compare.htm
NFL and NCAA Football Prediction Trackers
http://tbeck.freeshell.org/
Jon Dokter's Players' Poll Proposal
http://mintaka.sdsu.edu/~dokter/sw/newpoll.html
Ray Wait's MegaRanking (BCS alternative)
http://www.nutshellsports.com/bcs.html
Know of another great sports page that should be listed here? Send it
to me at:
ray@ebarrelracing.com
