The Superlist
The Superlist
Saturday, December 4, 2021 (6 systems)
You can link to the Superlist or get permission to post it on your
site as soon as it is completed. A link to the Superlist page is
required.
The Superlist rankings are computed by David Wilson using the rankings
for the selected systems on Kenneth Massey's Ratings Comparison Page.
In the following list you will see all the 1-A teams as calculated by
the Superlist formula from this year's members. Each team's rating is
shown, followed by the average rank, followed by the median rank,
followed by the number of systems that put the team in the top thirty,
top ten, top five and top position.
If you wish to use the Superlist to guess the margin of victory of a
given game, subtract the lower team rating from the greater team
rating, then divide by two and add three points to the home team, if
any. That will give you an idea of the expected outcome based on past
performance. If you are a serious gambler, I would suggest you don't
confuse this system with a truly predictive one.
rank team rating average median top30 top10 top5 top1
1 Georgia 99.333 1.833 1.5 6 6 6 3
2 Alabama 99.000 2.000 2.0 6 6 6 2
3 Michigan 98.083 2.833 3.0 6 6 6 0
4 Cincinnati 96.667 4.167 4.5 6 6 5 1
5 Ohio St 96.333 4.833 4.5 6 6 5 0
6 Notre Dame 95.000 6.000 6.0 6 6 2 0
7 Oklahoma St 93.083 8.333 7.5 6 5 0 0
8 Mississippi 92.083 8.833 9.0 6 6 0 0
9 Baylor 90.917 11.167 9.0 6 4 0 0
10 Pittsburgh 90.167 10.667 11.0 6 3 0 0
11 Oklahoma 89.833 11.333 11.0 6 1 0 0
12 Michigan St 88.083 14.333 11.5 6 2 0 0
13 Utah 86.833 14.333 14.0 6 0 0 0
14 Wisconsin 86.250 15.500 14.0 6 1 0 0
15 Clemson 83.917 16.167 18.0 6 1 0 0
16 Penn St 83.083 19.333 16.5 6 0 0 0
17 Iowa 82.500 20.500 16.5 5 0 0 0
18 Texas A&M 80.750 20.500 20.0 5 1 0 0
19 Arkansas 79.500 21.500 21.5 6 0 0 0
20 NC State 78.333 22.333 23.0 6 0 0 0
21 Iowa St 78.167 23.167 22.5 4 0 0 0
22 Purdue 77.667 23.167 23.5 5 0 0 0
23 Wake Forest 77.333 24.333 23.0 5 0 0 0
24 Kentucky 77.083 24.333 23.5 5 0 0 0
25 BYU 75.083 28.333 23.5 4 0 0 0
26 Auburn 73.083 29.333 26.5 4 0 0 0
27 Oregon 72.833 28.833 27.5 5 0 0 0
28 Tennessee 71.083 30.333 29.5 3 0 0 0
29 Mississippi St 70.667 30.667 30.0 3 0 0 0
30 Minnesota 70.333 30.333 31.0 3 0 0 0
31 Louisiana 69.833 29.333 33.0 3 0 0 0
32 Houston 68.167 32.167 33.5 2 0 0 0
33 LSU 66.750 36.000 32.5 2 0 0 0
34 Appalachian St 65.167 36.667 35.0 2 0 0 0
35 UCLA 64.833 35.833 36.5 2 0 0 0
36 UT San Antonio 63.750 35.000 39.5 2 0 0 0
37 Miami FL 63.333 37.333 38.0 1 0 0 0
38 Boise St 62.250 38.500 39.0 1 0 0 0
39 Air Force 61.417 40.667 38.5 0 0 0 0
40 Fresno St 59.667 41.667 41.0 0 0 0 0
41 Kansas St 59.583 40.333 42.5 1 0 0 0
42 Texas 58.833 42.833 41.5 0 0 0 0
43 San Diego St 57.917 43.667 42.5 2 0 0 0
44 Arizona St 55.583 44.833 46.0 0 0 0 0
45 Nevada 54.167 46.667 47.0 0 0 0 0
46 Army 53.833 48.833 45.5 0 0 0 0
47 Utah St 53.250 48.500 47.0 1 0 0 0
48 Louisville 52.000 49.500 48.5 0 0 0 0
49 SMU 50.750 51.000 49.5 0 0 0 0
50 Coastal Car 50.583 52.833 48.0 0 0 0 0
51 Nebraska 50.333 53.833 47.5 0 0 0 0
52 West Virginia 50.167 51.167 50.5 0 0 0 0
53 Florida 49.250 48.500 55.0 1 0 0 0
54 North Carolina 48.500 51.000 54.0 1 0 0 0
55 Oregon St 48.333 52.333 53.0 0 0 0 0
56 Washington St 47.417 53.167 54.0 0 0 0 0
57 Virginia 46.000 55.000 55.0 0 0 0 0
58 WKU 45.750 54.500 56.0 0 0 0 0
59 Texas Tech 44.750 57.500 55.0 0 0 0 0
60 Maryland 40.000 59.500 62.5 0 0 0 0
61 UAB 38.417 64.167 61.0 0 0 0 0
62 UCF 38.333 61.833 63.5 0 0 0 0
63 Virginia Tech 37.583 64.333 62.5 0 0 0 0
64 Florida St 37.333 64.833 62.5 0 0 0 0
65 South Carolina 35.500 65.500 65.5 0 0 0 0
66 C Michigan 34.750 67.500 65.0 0 0 0 0
67 Illinois 33.167 67.167 68.5 0 0 0 0
68 Missouri 33.000 69.500 66.5 0 0 0 0
69 East Carolina 32.750 68.500 68.0 0 0 0 0
70 Liberty 32.083 67.833 70.0 0 0 0 0
71 Marshall 28.917 71.667 72.5 0 0 0 0
72 TCU 27.833 72.333 74.0 0 0 0 0
73 Syracuse 27.667 74.667 72.0 0 0 0 0
74 W Michigan 27.250 73.000 74.5 0 0 0 0
75 California 27.167 75.667 72.0 0 0 0 0
76 Boston College 27.000 75.000 73.0 0 0 0 0
77 Toledo 26.750 74.000 74.5 0 0 0 0
78 Tulsa 24.667 76.167 76.5 0 0 0 0
79 N Illinois 24.083 73.833 80.0 0 0 0 0
80 Rutgers 23.917 76.667 77.5 0 0 0 0
81 Georgia St 22.583 77.333 79.5 0 0 0 0
82 Memphis 21.167 79.667 80.0 0 0 0 0
83 USC 19.667 79.667 83.0 0 0 0 0
84 Miami OH 16.417 84.667 84.5 0 0 0 0
85 Washington 15.750 85.500 85.0 0 0 0 0
86 Wyoming 14.917 86.167 86.0 0 0 0 0
87 Georgia Tech 11.917 88.667 89.5 0 0 0 0
88 Ball St 11.667 88.667 90.0 0 0 0 0
89 Indiana 9.833 91.333 91.0 0 0 0 0
90 E Michigan 8.250 90.000 95.5 0 0 0 0
91 Hawaii 8.167 93.667 92.0 0 0 0 0
92 Navy 8.167 93.167 92.5 0 0 0 0
93 Colorado 8.083 92.333 93.5 0 0 0 0
94 Kent 7.583 90.833 96.0 0 0 0 0
95 Stanford 7.000 93.000 95.0 0 0 0 0
96 MTSU 6.500 94.000 95.0 0 0 0 0
97 North Texas 5.833 95.333 95.0 0 0 0 0
98 San Jose St 3.333 98.833 96.5 0 0 0 0
99 FL Atlantic 1.833 98.833 99.5 0 0 0 0
100 Old Dominion 1.750 97.500 101.0 0 0 0 0
101 Northwestern 1.500 98.500 100.5 0 0 0 0
102 Tulane 1.000 99.500 100.5 0 0 0 0
103 Troy 0.000 101.000 101.0 0 0 0 0
104 Colorado St -0.167 100.333 102.0 0 0 0 0
105 UTEP -0.500 99.500 103.5 0 0 0 0
106 South Alabama -3.250 105.000 103.5 0 0 0 0
107 ULM -6.500 108.500 106.5 0 0 0 0
108 South Florida -8.333 109.167 109.5 0 0 0 0
109 UNLV -9.250 110.000 110.5 0 0 0 0
110 Kansas -9.417 110.333 110.5 0 0 0 0
111 Buffalo -10.250 111.500 111.0 0 0 0 0
112 Louisiana Tech -11.667 111.833 113.5 0 0 0 0
113 Arizona -12.083 114.167 112.0 0 0 0 0
114 Duke -12.083 113.667 112.5 0 0 0 0
115 Charlotte -13.333 114.167 114.5 0 0 0 0
116 Rice -13.917 114.333 115.5 0 0 0 0
117 Ga Southern -14.333 115.167 115.5 0 0 0 0
118 Vanderbilt -14.833 116.167 115.5 0 0 0 0
119 Bowling Green -15.417 116.833 116.0 0 0 0 0
120 Texas St -16.583 117.167 118.0 0 0 0 0
121 Ohio -17.750 118.500 119.0 0 0 0 0
122 New Mexico -20.083 121.167 121.0 0 0 0 0
123 Southern Miss -20.917 121.833 122.0 0 0 0 0
124 Arkansas St -21.083 122.167 122.0 0 0 0 0
125 Temple -23.333 123.667 125.0 0 0 0 0
126 New Mexico St -24.917 125.833 126.0 0 0 0 0
127 Akron -25.917 126.833 127.0 0 0 0 0
128 Connecticut -27.000 128.000 128.0 0 0 0 0
129 Florida Intl -27.917 128.833 129.0 0 0 0 0
130 Massachusetts -29.000 130.000 130.0 0 0 0 0
The Superlist is compiled from excellent computer rating systems.
Retrodictive systems judge all games are treated equally through the
season and margins of victory are not included. Predictive means that
games are weighted toward the end of the season to reflect their
current strength instead of their average strength throughout the
season as retrodictive ones do. Predictive systems do consider margins
of victory. These are only general observations of retrodictive and
predictive systems. Individual systems may not fit this description
exactly.
rating = the fabricated points issued to each team according to the
Superlist formula. If a team wins the number one position in all
rating systems it will score 100. If a team wins all number two
positions it will score 99. With all number thirty positions a team
would score 71.
rating = 101 - 0.5*(average + median)
average = average ranking by the systems.
median = the middle point at which half the systems awarding the team
a position would show a higher position and half would award it a
lower one. For example, if there were three systems and a team had
positions 18, 24, and 25, the median position would be the middle one
- 24. If there are an even number of systems the two middle numbers
are averaged for the median. That moves one system above the median
and one system below the median unless both systems assign the team
the same position. Examples:
4, 5, 8, and 9 would yield a median of 6.5.
4, 6, 6, and 20 would become 6.
The systems included in the Superlist are:
NCAA Division IA Football Power Ratings
http://www.jhowell.net/cf/cfindex.htm
Massey Ratings
http://www.masseyratings.com/rate.php?lg=cf&sub=IA&mid=6
F.A.C.T.
http://prwolfe.bol.ucla.edu/cfootball/rothman.txt
David Wilson's Performance Ratings Data missing
http://wilson.engr.wisc.edu/perform/byrate.html
2017 College Football
http://prwolfe.bol.ucla.edu/cfootball/home.htm
Time Travel Sports
http://www.timetravelsports.com/currat.txt
Atomic Football Data missing
http://www.atomicfootball.com/af-ratings.html
Accuratings Data missing
http://accuratings.webs.com/ncaaf.html
Power Ratings
http://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/col-foot.htm
_________________________________________
The Superlist was conceived and formulated by Ray Waits of Nutshell Sports
Ratings and consultant Stewart Huckaby of ARGH Ratings. It is the
property
of Ray Waits and
David Wilson.
YourLinx Ratings can be found at:
http://www.nutshellsports.com/
Your comments are welcomed:
ray@ebarrelracing.com
_________________________________________
Feel free to distribute this to your friends. Better yet, tell them
where they can subscribe. They will receive sports ratings year round.
Sports pages you just can't miss:
David Wilson's American College Football - Rankings List
http://wilson.engr.wisc.edu/rsfc/oth_sites/rate/
Everything you ever wanted to know about College Football
http://wilson.engr.wisc.edu/rsfc/
Kenneth Massey's College Football Ranking Comparison
http://masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm
Kenneth Massey's College Basketball Ranking Comparison
http://masseyratings.com/cb/compare.htm
NFL and NCAA Football Prediction Trackers
http://tbeck.freeshell.org/
Jon Dokter's Players' Poll Proposal
http://mintaka.sdsu.edu/~dokter/sw/newpoll.html
Ray Wait's MegaRanking (BCS alternative)
http://www.nutshellsports.com/bcs.html
Know of another great sports page that should be listed here? Send it
to me at:
ray@ebarrelracing.com
