The Superlist
The Superlist
Monday, January 13, 2020 (8 systems)
You can link to the Superlist or get permission to post it on your
site as soon as it is completed. A link to the Superlist page is
required.
The Superlist rankings are computed by David Wilson using the rankings
for the selected systems on Kenneth Massey's Ratings Comparison Page.
In the following list you will see all the 1-A teams as calculated by
the Superlist formula from this year's members. Each team's rating is
shown, followed by the average rank, followed by the median rank,
followed by the number of systems that put the team in the top thirty,
top ten, top five and top position.
If you wish to use the Superlist to guess the margin of victory of a
given game, subtract the lower team rating from the greater team
rating, then divide by two and add three points to the home team, if
any. That will give you an idea of the expected outcome based on past
performance. If you are a serious gambler, I would suggest you don't
confuse this system with a truly predictive one.
rank team rating average median top30 top10 top5 top1
1 LSU 100.000 1.000 1.0 8 8 8 8
2 Ohio St 98.500 2.500 2.5 8 8 8 0
3 Clemson 98.500 2.500 2.5 8 8 8 0
4 Georgia 96.438 4.625 4.5 8 8 7 0
5 Alabama 95.750 5.500 5.0 8 8 4 0
6 Penn St 95.125 6.250 5.5 8 8 4 0
7 Florida 93.500 7.500 7.5 8 8 0 0
8 Oklahoma 92.562 8.375 8.5 8 7 0 0
9 Oregon 92.438 8.625 8.5 8 6 1 0
10 Notre Dame 90.750 10.500 10.0 8 5 0 0
11 Auburn 89.562 11.375 11.5 8 2 0 0
12 Wisconsin 88.812 12.875 11.5 8 2 0 0
13 Michigan 86.438 14.625 14.5 8 0 0 0
14 Iowa 85.062 15.875 16.0 8 0 0 0
15 Baylor 84.750 16.500 16.0 8 0 0 0
16 Minnesota 84.562 16.375 16.5 8 1 0 0
17 Memphis 84.250 17.000 16.5 8 0 0 0
18 Utah 83.000 18.000 18.0 8 0 0 0
19 Navy 81.875 19.250 19.0 8 0 0 0
20 Appalachian St 80.188 20.125 21.5 8 0 0 0
21 Texas 79.812 20.875 21.5 8 1 0 0
22 Cincinnati 78.688 22.625 22.0 8 0 0 0
23 Texas A&M 78.375 22.750 22.5 8 0 0 0
24 Air Force 77.062 24.875 23.0 6 0 0 0
25 UCF 76.875 24.250 24.0 7 0 0 0
26 Washington 75.562 24.875 26.0 7 0 0 0
27 Boise St 74.438 27.125 26.0 6 0 0 0
28 USC 72.000 28.500 29.5 6 0 0 0
29 Oklahoma St 69.875 31.250 31.0 4 0 0 0
30 Iowa St 69.312 32.375 31.0 4 0 0 0
31 Kansas St 69.250 31.500 32.0 3 0 0 0
32 FL Atlantic 68.875 32.250 32.0 3 0 0 0
33 SMU 68.625 32.250 32.5 3 0 0 0
34 Louisiana 67.375 33.750 33.5 3 0 0 0
35 Tennessee 66.500 34.500 34.5 1 0 0 0
36 Virginia 66.125 34.750 35.0 0 0 0 0
37 Arizona St 64.125 37.750 36.0 1 0 0 0
38 Kentucky 61.812 38.375 40.0 0 0 0 0
39 California 60.688 42.625 38.0 0 0 0 0
40 Michigan St 59.938 41.125 41.0 0 0 0 0
41 Louisville 59.000 42.000 42.0 0 0 0 0
42 North Carolina 58.438 41.125 44.0 1 0 0 0
43 Indiana 58.250 43.500 42.0 0 0 0 0
44 TCU 55.000 47.500 44.5 0 0 0 0
45 San Diego St 54.750 46.500 46.0 0 0 0 0
46 Mississippi St 54.312 47.375 46.0 0 0 0 0
47 Tulane 52.188 48.625 49.0 0 0 0 0
48 South Carolina 51.938 50.625 47.5 0 0 0 0
49 Hawaii 49.562 54.875 48.0 0 0 0 0
50 Virginia Tech 49.188 52.125 51.5 0 0 0 0
51 Washington St 48.438 53.125 52.0 0 0 0 0
52 Wake Forest 48.125 53.750 52.0 0 0 0 0
53 Missouri 46.312 53.875 55.5 1 0 0 0
54 Pittsburgh 44.812 55.375 57.0 0 0 0 0
55 Oregon St 44.750 57.500 55.0 0 0 0 0
56 West Virginia 41.125 62.750 57.0 0 0 0 0
57 BYU 41.125 62.250 57.5 0 0 0 0
58 Temple 41.125 60.250 59.5 0 0 0 0
59 Wyoming 41.125 59.250 60.5 0 0 0 0
60 Florida St 40.688 60.125 60.5 0 0 0 0
61 Nebraska 37.938 63.125 63.0 0 0 0 0
62 Colorado 36.812 66.875 61.5 0 0 0 0
63 WKU 36.250 64.000 65.5 0 0 0 0
64 Louisiana Tech 35.750 63.000 67.5 0 0 0 0
65 Miami FL 33.562 65.875 69.0 0 0 0 0
66 UCLA 33.312 68.875 66.5 0 0 0 0
67 Mississippi 33.250 68.000 67.5 0 0 0 0
68 Buffalo 32.812 67.375 69.0 0 0 0 0
69 Utah St 32.312 69.875 67.5 0 0 0 0
70 Boston College 31.625 69.250 69.5 0 0 0 0
71 Texas Tech 31.625 71.250 67.5 0 0 0 0
72 Tulsa 29.938 71.625 70.5 0 0 0 0
73 Marshall 29.812 68.875 73.5 0 0 0 0
74 Stanford 28.375 73.250 72.0 0 0 0 0
75 Illinois 26.875 74.750 73.5 0 0 0 0
76 Duke 26.062 73.375 76.5 0 0 0 0
77 Purdue 25.312 76.875 74.5 0 0 0 0
78 Miami OH 24.312 74.875 78.5 0 0 0 0
79 Ga Southern 24.000 76.000 78.0 0 0 0 0
80 Arkansas St 22.875 77.250 79.0 0 0 0 0
81 Houston 22.625 76.750 80.0 0 0 0 0
82 Ohio 22.000 79.000 79.0 0 0 0 0
83 Kent 20.312 79.375 82.0 0 0 0 0
84 W Michigan 20.125 80.250 81.5 0 0 0 0
85 Syracuse 17.938 81.625 84.5 0 0 0 0
86 Southern Miss 17.875 83.250 83.0 0 0 0 0
87 Arizona 17.438 83.625 83.5 0 0 0 0
88 UAB 11.500 87.500 91.5 0 0 0 0
89 C Michigan 10.812 89.375 91.0 0 0 0 0
90 Liberty 10.562 90.375 90.5 0 0 0 0
91 Northwestern 10.312 90.375 91.0 0 0 0 0
92 ULM 8.062 93.375 92.5 0 0 0 0
93 Nevada 7.250 96.500 91.0 0 0 0 0
94 Ball St 6.688 92.625 96.0 0 0 0 0
95 Maryland 6.500 95.000 94.0 0 0 0 0
96 Georgia St 6.250 95.500 94.0 0 0 0 0
97 South Florida 6.125 95.250 94.5 0 0 0 0
98 Fresno St 4.312 95.875 97.5 0 0 0 0
99 Kansas 3.938 97.625 96.5 0 0 0 0
100 San Jose St 0.188 101.625 100.0 0 0 0 0
101 E Michigan 0.000 101.000 101.0 0 0 0 0
102 Charlotte -1.062 100.625 103.5 0 0 0 0
103 Toledo -2.062 103.625 102.5 0 0 0 0
104 Troy -2.250 103.500 103.0 0 0 0 0
105 NC State -2.688 103.875 103.5 0 0 0 0
106 Army -3.188 103.375 105.0 0 0 0 0
107 N Illinois -6.250 107.000 107.5 0 0 0 0
108 Colorado St -6.562 107.125 108.0 0 0 0 0
109 Florida Intl -6.812 107.125 108.5 0 0 0 0
110 Vanderbilt -6.812 108.125 107.5 0 0 0 0
111 Georgia Tech -7.000 108.500 107.5 0 0 0 0
112 Coastal Car -7.625 108.250 109.0 0 0 0 0
113 MTSU -10.625 109.250 114.0 0 0 0 0
114 Arkansas -11.562 111.125 114.0 0 0 0 0
115 UNLV -12.562 113.125 114.0 0 0 0 0
116 North Texas -15.062 114.625 117.5 0 0 0 0
117 East Carolina -15.688 116.375 117.0 0 0 0 0
118 Rutgers -16.188 117.375 117.0 0 0 0 0
119 Texas St -16.500 117.500 117.5 0 0 0 0
120 Rice -17.938 118.375 119.5 0 0 0 0
121 South Alabama -19.875 120.750 121.0 0 0 0 0
122 UT San Antonio -21.312 122.125 122.5 0 0 0 0
123 New Mexico -21.500 122.500 122.5 0 0 0 0
124 Bowling Green -22.500 123.000 124.0 0 0 0 0
125 New Mexico St -24.500 125.500 125.5 0 0 0 0
126 Connecticut -24.625 125.750 125.5 0 0 0 0
127 Old Dominion -25.375 125.750 127.0 0 0 0 0
128 UTEP -26.875 127.750 128.0 0 0 0 0
129 Massachusetts -28.125 129.250 129.0 0 0 0 0
130 Akron -28.812 129.625 130.0 0 0 0 0
The Superlist is compiled from excellent computer rating systems.
Retrodictive systems judge all games are treated equally through the
season and margins of victory are not included. Predictive means that
games are weighted toward the end of the season to reflect their
current strength instead of their average strength throughout the
season as retrodictive ones do. Predictive systems do consider margins
of victory. These are only general observations of retrodictive and
predictive systems. Individual systems may not fit this description
exactly.
rating = the fabricated points issued to each team according to the
Superlist formula. If a team wins the number one position in all
rating systems it will score 100. If a team wins all number two
positions it will score 99. With all number thirty positions a team
would score 71.
rating = 101 - 0.5*(average + median)
average = average ranking by the systems.
median = the middle point at which half the systems awarding the team
a position would show a higher position and half would award it a
lower one. For example, if there were three systems and a team had
positions 18, 24, and 25, the median position would be the middle one
- 24. If there are an even number of systems the two middle numbers
are averaged for the median. That moves one system above the median
and one system below the median unless both systems assign the team
the same position. Examples:
4, 5, 8, and 9 would yield a median of 6.5.
4, 6, 6, and 20 would become 6.
The systems included in the Superlist are:
NCAA Division IA Football Power Ratings
http://www.jhowell.net/cf/cfindex.htm
Massey Ratings
http://www.masseyratings.com/rate.php?lg=cf&sub=IA&mid=6
F.A.C.T.
http://prwolfe.bol.ucla.edu/cfootball/rothman.txt
David Wilson's Performance Ratings
http://wilson.engr.wisc.edu/perform/byrate.html
2017 College Football
http://prwolfe.bol.ucla.edu/cfootball/home.htm
Time Travel Sports
http://www.timetravelsports.com/currat.txt
Atomic Football
http://www.atomicfootball.com/af-ratings.html
Accuratings Data missing
http://accuratings.webs.com/ncaaf.html
Power Ratings
http://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/col-foot.htm
_________________________________________
The Superlist was conceived and formulated by Ray Waits of Nutshell Sports
Ratings and consultant Stewart Huckaby of ARGH Ratings. It is the
property
of Ray Waits and
David Wilson.
YourLinx Ratings can be found at:
http://www.nutshellsports.com/
Your comments are welcomed:
ray@ebarrelracing.com
_________________________________________
Feel free to distribute this to your friends. Better yet, tell them
where they can subscribe. They will receive sports ratings year round.
Sports pages you just can't miss:
David Wilson's American College Football - Rankings List
http://wilson.engr.wisc.edu/rsfc/oth_sites/rate/
Everything you ever wanted to know about College Football
http://wilson.engr.wisc.edu/rsfc/
Kenneth Massey's College Football Ranking Comparison
http://masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm
Kenneth Massey's College Basketball Ranking Comparison
http://masseyratings.com/cb/compare.htm
NFL and NCAA Football Prediction Trackers
http://tbeck.freeshell.org/
Jon Dokter's Players' Poll Proposal
http://mintaka.sdsu.edu/~dokter/sw/newpoll.html
Ray Wait's MegaRanking (BCS alternative)
http://www.nutshellsports.com/bcs.html
Know of another great sports page that should be listed here? Send it
to me at:
ray@ebarrelracing.com
